Week 7 • October 12, 2025, 03:59 AM UTC
3-2
MW
Power Rank: -3.6
26 FINAL 44
4-2
MW
Power Rank: -6.3
Hawai'i covered by 16.5 | Game went Over by 11.5

Hawai'i defeated Utah State 44–26 to secure a comfortable win. Hawai'i covered the spread; the game went Over.

Utah State @ Hawai'i Preview

General Information

Week: Week 7
Kick Off (at stadium): 05:59 PM HST
Stadium: Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex
Capacity: 16,909
Elevation: 75 ft
HFA Rating: 2.9
Playing Surface: Artifical Turf

Betting Information

Spread Hawai'i -1.5
Total (O/U) 58.5
Expected Score USU 28.5 - 30.0 HAW
Power Rank Implied Line Utah State +2.7
Prediction Markets Utah State 54% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Patchy rain nearby

Patchy rain nearby

73.8°F

Feels Like: 77.4°F
Wind: 14.1 mph SW
Gusts: 20.1 mph
Precipitation: 0.06"
Humidity: 79%
Rain Chance: 70%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Utah State (Away)

This Week: 3012.7 miles
Last Week: No Game
Season Total: 8110.8 miles
Body Clock Time: 21:59
Rest Days: 15

Hawai'i (Home)

This Week: 0.2 miles
Last Week: No Game
Season Total: 12626.3 miles
Body Clock Time: 17:59
Rest Days: 15

Line Value Calculator

Adjust any factor to update your projected line

Your line Hawai'i -2.7
Implied value
Betting
Current line Hawai'i -1.5
Total (O/U) 58.5
Power ratings — adjust if you disagree
Utah State -3.6
Hawai'i -6.3
Travel impact
Away travel 3013 mi
Home travel 0 mi
Rest Even
Home field — Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex
Capacity 16,909
Elevation 75 ft
Weather: Patchy rain nearby
Temperature 73.8°F
Wind speed 14.1 mph

Positive adjustment = favours home team

What are the key factors for Utah State vs Hawai'i?

Utah State: Key Factors

Hawai'i: Key Factors

What happened in the game?

Utah State travels 3,013 miles to this game, a cross-country trip.

Utah State arrives with a 4-hour body clock disadvantage.

Hawai'i won by 18 to secure a comfortable win.

Hawai'i covered the spread comfortably.

The total went Over by 11.5 points.

Does weather affect this game at Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex?

Precipitation chance is 70%, pointing to a wet-field game. High precip probability increases fumble risk and typically compresses both team totals.

Full conditions are shown in the data panel above. Forecast data sourced from WeatherAPI.com. Use the Line Value Calculator to apply a manual weather adjustment to your projected line.

How do Utah State and Hawai'i compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Utah State (-3.6) over Hawai'i (-6.3) by 2.7 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Hawai'i faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Hawai'i brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.9). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Hawai'i won and Hawai'i covered the spread.