14 Final 28 9 Final 20 7 Final 42 14 Final 51 7 Final 38 31 Final 35 45 Final 19 9 Final 56 24 Final 34 0 Final 34 20 Final 27 13 Final 16 14 Final 62 48 Final 45 0 Final 66 17 Final 45 3 Final 77 22 Final 44 10 Final 42 7 Final 55 22 Final 32 31 Final 42 0 Final 70 36 Final 27 12 Final 59 43 Final 36 13 Final 20 6 Final 45 24 Final 38 16 Final 27 30 Final 23 7 Final 31 20 Final 34 17 Final 72 27 Final 26 6 Final 28 33 Final 30 3 Final 69 17 Final 45 7 Final 31 10 Final 17 10 Final 42 18 Final 16 20 Final 38 17 Final 20 14 Final 56 21 Final 20 6 Final 54 3 Final 56 14 Final 56 9 Final 63 3 Final 35 33 Final 31 24 Final 21 21 Final 45 17 Final 21 38 Final 16 20 Final 3 7 Final 68 10 Final 38 3 Final 45 35 Final 9 28 Final 23 40 Final 42 20 Final 59 13 Final 24 0 Final 68 44 Final 20 0 Final 13 17 Final 34 7 Final 23 20 Final 24 3 Final 42 0 Final 73 23 Final 30 10 Final 34 14 Final 21 17 Final 42 3 Final 48 13 Final 36 3 Final 27 10 Final 70 20 Final 37
Week 8 • October 18, 2025, 04:00 PM UTC
Arizona @ Houston
4-2
Big 12
Power Rank: 10.4
28 FINAL 31
5-1
Big 12
Power Rank: 6.8
Houston covered by 0.5 | Game went Over by 11.5

By · Last updated

Houston defeated Arizona 31–28 in a nail-biter. Houston covered the spread; the game went Over. Blue Chip Analytics had rated Arizona 3.6 points stronger on a neutral field.

Arizona @ Houston Preview

General Information

Week: Week 8
Kick Off (at stadium): 11:00 AM CDT
Stadium: TDECU Stadium
Capacity: 40,000
Elevation: 52 ft
HFA Rating: 2.2
Playing Surface: Artifical Turf

Betting Information

Spread Houston -2.5
Total (O/U) 47.5
Expected Score ARIZ 22.5 - 25.0 HOU
Power Rank Implied Line Arizona +3.6
Prediction Markets Arizona 52% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Sunny

Sunny

55.5°F

Feels Like: 55.1°F
Wind: 4.5 mph WSW
Gusts: 5.6 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 34%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Arizona (Away)

This Week: 941.1 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 3475.1 miles
Body Clock Time: 09:00
Rest Days: 7

Houston (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: 904.8 miles
Season Total: 4913.4 miles
Body Clock Time: 11:00
Rest Days: 7

Line Value Calculator

Adjust any factor to update your projected line

Your line Houston -3.6
Implied value —
Betting
Current line Houston -2.5
Total (O/U) 47.5
Power ratings — adjust if you disagree
Arizona 10.4
Houston 6.8
Travel impact
Away travel 941 mi
Home travel 0 mi
Rest Even
Home field — TDECU Stadium
Capacity 40,000
Elevation 52 ft
Weather: Sunny
Temperature 55.5°F
Wind speed 4.5 mph

Positive adjustment = favours home team

What are the key factors for Arizona vs Houston?

Arizona: Key Factors

Houston: Key Factors

What happened in the game?

Arizona travels 941 miles to this game, a significant road trip.

Arizona arrives with a 2-hour body clock disadvantage.

Houston won by 3 in a nail-biter.

Houston covered the spread narrowly.

The total went Over by 11.5 points.

How do Arizona and Houston compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Arizona (10.4) over Houston (6.8) by 3.6 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Houston faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Houston brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.2). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Arizona and Houston?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Model & Methodology

Houston won and Houston covered the spread.