14 Final 28 9 Final 20 7 Final 42 14 Final 51 7 Final 38 31 Final 35 45 Final 19 9 Final 56 24 Final 34 0 Final 34 20 Final 27 13 Final 16 14 Final 62 48 Final 45 0 Final 66 17 Final 45 3 Final 77 22 Final 44 10 Final 42 7 Final 55 22 Final 32 31 Final 42 0 Final 70 36 Final 27 12 Final 59 43 Final 36 13 Final 20 6 Final 45 24 Final 38 16 Final 27 30 Final 23 7 Final 31 20 Final 34 17 Final 72 27 Final 26 6 Final 28 33 Final 30 3 Final 69 17 Final 45 7 Final 31 10 Final 17 10 Final 42 18 Final 16 20 Final 38 17 Final 20 14 Final 56 21 Final 20 6 Final 54 3 Final 56 14 Final 56 9 Final 63 3 Final 35 33 Final 31 24 Final 21 21 Final 45 17 Final 21 38 Final 16 20 Final 3 7 Final 68 10 Final 38 3 Final 45 35 Final 9 28 Final 23 40 Final 42 20 Final 59 13 Final 24 0 Final 68 44 Final 20 0 Final 13 17 Final 34 7 Final 23 20 Final 24 3 Final 42 0 Final 73 23 Final 30 10 Final 34 14 Final 21 17 Final 42 3 Final 48 13 Final 36 3 Final 27 10 Final 70 20 Final 37
Week 8 • October 18, 2025, 04:00 PM UTC
Baylor @ TCU
4-2
Big 12
Power Rank: 10.0
36 FINAL 42
4-2
Big 12
Power Rank: 12.3
TCU covered by 3.5 | Game went Over by 12.5

By · Last updated

TCU defeated Baylor 42–36 in a closely contested finish. TCU covered the spread; the game went Over.

Baylor @ TCU Preview

General Information

Week: Week 8
Kick Off (at stadium): 11:00 AM CDT
Stadium: Amon G. Carter Stadium
Capacity: 47,000
Elevation: 646 ft
HFA Rating: 2.5
Playing Surface: Grass

Betting Information

Spread TCU -2.5
Total (O/U) 65.5
Expected Score BAY 31.5 - 34.0 TCU
Power Rank Implied Line TCU +2.3
Prediction Markets TCU 59% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Sunny

Sunny

55.8°F

Wind Chill: 53.6°F
Wind: 8.9 mph SW
Gusts: 12.5 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 32%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Baylor (Away)

This Week: 80.7 miles
Last Week: No Game
Season Total: 890.9 miles
Body Clock Time: 11:00
Rest Days: 14

TCU (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: 899.4 miles
Season Total: 4729.3 miles
Body Clock Time: 11:00
Rest Days: 7

Line Value Calculator

Adjust any factor to update your projected line

Your line TCU +2.3
Implied value —
Betting
Current line TCU -2.5
Total (O/U) 65.5
Power ratings — adjust if you disagree
Baylor 10.0
TCU 12.3
Travel impact
Away travel 81 mi
Home travel 0 mi
Rest Baylor +7
Home field — Amon G. Carter Stadium
Capacity 47,000
Elevation 646 ft
Weather: Sunny
Temperature 55.8°F
Wind speed 8.9 mph

Positive adjustment = favours home team

What are the key factors for Baylor vs TCU?

Baylor: Key Factors

TCU: Key Factors

What happened in the game?

Baylor travels 81 miles to this game, a short road trip.

TCU won by 6 in a closely contested finish.

TCU covered the spread.

The total went Over by 12.5 points.

How do Baylor and TCU compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour TCU (12.3) over Baylor (10.0) by 2.3 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. TCU brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.5). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Baylor and TCU?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Model & Methodology

TCU won and TCU covered the spread.