Week 8 • October 18, 2025, 06:00 PM UTC
2-4
MAC
Power Rank: -25.2
10 FINAL 45
3-3
MAC
Power Rank: 1.4
Toledo covered by 10.5 | Game went Over by 4.5

Toledo defeated Kent State 45–10 in a dominant performance. Toledo covered the spread; the game went Over.

Kent State @ Toledo Preview

General Information

Week: Week 8
Kick Off (at stadium): 02:00 PM EDT
Stadium: Glass Bowl
Capacity: 8,000
Elevation: 610 ft
HFA Rating: 2.6
Playing Surface: Artifical Turf

Betting Information

Spread Toledo -24.5
Total (O/U) 50.5
Expected Score KENT 13.0 - 37.5 TOL
Power Rank Implied Line Toledo +26.6
Prediction Markets Toledo 50% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Moderate or heavy snow showers

Moderate or heavy snow showers

27.3°F

Wind Chill: 16.9°F
Wind: 11.9 mph WSW
Gusts: 17.9 mph
Precipitation: 0.03"
Humidity: 93%
Rain Chance: 100%
Snow Chance: 80%

Travel & Rest

Kent State (Away)

This Week: 124.8 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 6836.3 miles
Body Clock Time: 14:00
Rest Days: 7

Toledo (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: 38.5 miles
Season Total: 1061.4 miles
Body Clock Time: 14:00
Rest Days: 7

Line Value Calculator

Adjust any factor to update your projected line

Your line Toledo +26.6
Implied value
Betting
Current line Toledo -24.5
Total (O/U) 50.5
Power ratings — adjust if you disagree
Kent State -25.2
Toledo 1.4
Travel impact
Away travel 125 mi
Home travel 0 mi
Rest Even
Home field — Glass Bowl
Capacity 8,000
Elevation 610 ft
Weather: Moderate or heavy snow showers
Temperature 27.3°F
Wind speed 11.9 mph

Positive adjustment = favours home team

What are the key factors for Kent State vs Toledo?

Kent State: Key Factors

Toledo: Key Factors

What happened in the game?

Kent State travels 125 miles to this game, a short road trip.

Toledo won by 35 in a dominant performance.

Toledo covered the spread by a solid margin.

The total went Over by 4.5 points.

Does weather affect this game at Glass Bowl?

At 27.3°F, this is a cold-weather game. Cold conditions below 35°F historically compress scoring and reduce passing efficiency, favouring unders and run-heavy offences.

Precipitation chance is 100%, pointing to a wet-field game. High precip probability increases fumble risk and typically compresses both team totals.

Full conditions are shown in the data panel above. Forecast data sourced from WeatherAPI.com. Use the Line Value Calculator to apply a manual weather adjustment to your projected line.

How do Kent State and Toledo compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Toledo (1.4) over Kent State (-25.2) by 26.6 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Toledo brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.6). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Toledo won and Toledo covered the spread.