Week 8 • October 18, 2025, 11:45 PM UTC
4-1
SEC
Power Rank: 17.6
23 FINAL 17
3-3
SEC
Power Rank: 12.2
Missouri covered by 4.5 | Game went Under by 4.5

Missouri defeated Auburn 23–17 in a closely contested finish. Missouri covered the spread; the game went Under.

Missouri @ Auburn Preview

General Information

Week: Week 8
Kick Off (at stadium): 06:45 PM CDT
Stadium: Jordan-Hare Stadium
Capacity: 88,043
Elevation: 686 ft
HFA Rating: 2.4
Playing Surface: Grass

Betting Information

Spread Missouri -1.5
Total (O/U) 44.5
Expected Score MIZ 23.0 - 21.5 AUB
Power Rank Implied Line Missouri +5.4
Prediction Markets Missouri 53% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Clear

Clear

29.2°F

Wind Chill: 23.6°F
Wind: 5.1 mph WSW
Gusts: 10.7 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 67%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Missouri (Away)

This Week: 581.5 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 1026.0 miles
Body Clock Time: 18:45
Rest Days: 7

Auburn (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 4098.2 miles
Body Clock Time: 18:45
Rest Days: 7

Line Value Calculator

Adjust any factor to update your projected line

Your line Auburn -5.4
Implied value
Betting
Current line Missouri -1.5
Total (O/U) 44.5
Power ratings — adjust if you disagree
Missouri 17.6
Auburn 12.2
Travel impact
Away travel 581 mi
Home travel 0 mi
Rest Even
Home field — Jordan-Hare Stadium
Capacity 88,043
Elevation 686 ft
Weather: Clear
Temperature 29.2°F
Wind speed 5.1 mph

Positive adjustment = favours home team

What are the key factors for Missouri vs Auburn?

Missouri: Key Factors

Auburn: Key Factors

What happened in the game?

Missouri travels 581 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.

Missouri won by 6 in a closely contested finish.

Missouri covered the spread.

The total went Under by 4.5 points.

Does weather affect this game at Jordan-Hare Stadium?

At 29.2°F, this is a cold-weather game. Cold conditions below 35°F historically compress scoring and reduce passing efficiency, favouring unders and run-heavy offences.

Full conditions are shown in the data panel above. Forecast data sourced from WeatherAPI.com. Use the Line Value Calculator to apply a manual weather adjustment to your projected line.

How do Missouri and Auburn compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Missouri (17.6) over Auburn (12.2) by 5.4 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Auburn faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Auburn brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.4). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Missouri won and Missouri covered the spread.