Week 9 • October 25, 2025, 11:45 PM UTC
5-2
SEC
Power Rank: 19.1
56 FINAL 34
2-4
SEC
Power Rank: 6.0
Tennessee covered by 12.5 | Game went Over by 35.5

Tennessee defeated Kentucky 56–34 to secure a comfortable win. Tennessee covered the spread; the game went Over.

Tennessee @ Kentucky Preview

General Information

Week: Week 9
Kick Off (at stadium): 07:45 PM EDT
Stadium: Kroger Field
Capacity: 61,000
Elevation: 1004 ft
HFA Rating: 2.4
Playing Surface: Artifical Turf

Betting Information

Spread Tennessee -9.5
Total (O/U) 54.5
Expected Score TENN 32.0 - 22.5 UK
Power Rank Implied Line Tennessee +13.1

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Light snow

Light snow

25.6°F

Wind Chill: 17.2°F
Wind: 7.8 mph WSW
Gusts: 13.4 mph
Precipitation: 0.01"
Humidity: 98%
Rain Chance: 100%
Snow Chance: 80%

Travel & Rest

Tennessee (Away)

This Week: 146.1 miles
Last Week: 560.5 miles
Season Total: 1667.0 miles
Body Clock Time: 19:45
Rest Days: 7

Kentucky (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 1396.0 miles
Body Clock Time: 19:45
Rest Days: 7

Line Value Calculator

Adjust any factor to update your projected line

Your line Kentucky -13.1
Implied value
Betting
Current line Tennessee -9.5
Total (O/U) 54.5
Power ratings — adjust if you disagree
Tennessee 19.1
Kentucky 6.0
Travel impact
Away travel 146 mi
Home travel 0 mi
Rest Even
Home field — Kroger Field
Capacity 61,000
Elevation 1004 ft
Weather: Light snow
Temperature 25.6°F
Wind speed 7.8 mph

Positive adjustment = favours home team

What are the key factors for Tennessee vs Kentucky?

Tennessee: Key Factors

Kentucky: Key Factors

What happened in the game?

Tennessee travels 146 miles to this game, a short road trip.

Tennessee won by 22 to secure a comfortable win.

Tennessee covered the spread by a solid margin.

The total went Over by 35.5 points.

Does weather affect this game at Kroger Field?

At 25.6°F, this is a cold-weather game. Cold conditions below 35°F historically compress scoring and reduce passing efficiency, favouring unders and run-heavy offences.

Precipitation chance is 100%, pointing to a wet-field game. High precip probability increases fumble risk and typically compresses both team totals.

Full conditions are shown in the data panel above. Forecast data sourced from WeatherAPI.com. Use the Line Value Calculator to apply a manual weather adjustment to your projected line.

How do Tennessee and Kentucky compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Tennessee (19.1) over Kentucky (6.0) by 13.1 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Kentucky faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Kentucky brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.4). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Tennessee won and Tennessee covered the spread.